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Worst-case portfolio optimization in a market with bubbles

机译:泡沫市场中最坏情况的投资组合优化

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摘要

We investigate a utility maximization problem in the presence of asset price bubbles. At random times, the investor receives warnings that a bubble has formed in the market which may lead to a crash in the risky asset. We propose a regime switching model for the warnings and we make no assumptions about the distribution of the timing and the size of the crashes. Instead, we assume that the investor takes a worst-case perspective towards their impacts, i.e. the investor maximizes her expected utility under the worst-case crash scenario. We characterize the value function by a system of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations and derive a coupled system of ordinary differential equations for the optimal strategies. Numerical examples are provided.
机译:我们在存在资产价格泡沫的情况下调查效用最大化问题。在随机时间,投资者会收到警告,指出市场上已经形成了泡沫,这可能会导致风险资产崩溃。我们提出了一种用于警告的状态切换模型,并且我们不对时间分布和崩溃大小做出任何假设。取而代之的是,我们假设投资者对其影响采取最坏情况的观点,即在最坏情况下崩溃的情况下,投资者会最大化其预期效用。我们通过Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman方程组的系统来表征值函数,并推导了用于优化策略的常微分方程组。提供了数值示例。

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